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Saturday, September 4, 2010

Larry Sabato predicts a Republican House majority

If Larry Sabato is right, black folks are royally screwed with a Republican control of Congress. But then again we have been screwed with a Democratic control of Congress and an Obama White house, and black folks know it.

As reported in the Washington Postthe University of Virginia political handicapper Larry Sabato estimated that Republicans will pick up 47 seats in the House on Nov. 2, more than enough to restore the party to majority status at the start of the 112th Congress.

"Conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer," writes Sabato. "The economy appears rotten, with little chance of a substantial comeback by November 2nd. Unemployment is very high, income growth sluggish, and public confidence quite low."

The Post article also notes,  he adds: "To most voters--fair or not--it seems that President Obama has over-promised and under-delivered." 

Sabato's prediction comes amid increasingly pessimistic assessments of Democratic chances in the fall from the political prognosticator class.

Last week, Time magazine's Mark Halperin said that if circumstances didn't change Democratic House losses could total as many as 60 seats.

And, on Wednesday, Charlie Cook, a former Fix boss and editor of the Cook Political Report, wrote that "Democrats find themselves heading into a midterm election that looks as grisly as any the party has faced in decades." 

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