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Sunday, June 22, 2008

Obama Leads by 15% - GoodyBye Republicans?

A new Newsweek poll shows Barack Obama up by 15 points over McCain

As Jay Bookman from the Atlanta Journal Consitution recently noted, “Obama’s current lead also reflects the large party-identification advantage the Democrats now enjoy — 55 percent of all voters call themselves Democrats or say they lean toward the party while just 36 percent call themselves Republicans or lean that way. Even as McCain seeks to gain voters by distancing himself from the unpopular Bush and emphasizing his maverick image, he is suffering from the GOP’s poor reputation among many voters.”

That’s almost a 20-point advantage in party ID. The poll didn’t break that number out by age, but I would guess the Democrats’ advantage is particularly large among younger voters. And once young people identify with a party, they tend to maintain that identification throughout their lives. It may be a generation before the Republican Party returns to power nationally.

John McCain is no Abraham Lincoln. Or was he? Oops, maybe I'm wrong. It seems Newt Gingrich thinks so. But the fact of the matter is Abraham Lincoln 'was a racist who wanted to deport blacks. Maybe that really is what Newt Gingrich should have compared McCain to Abraham Lincoln as, American heroes and bigots.

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